🌡️
Live Temperature & Heat Record Prediction Markets
Temperature prediction market odds on PolyAtlas. Track Polymarket bets on heat records, extreme cold, temperature anomalies, and climate milestones worldwide.
Market
Price24hVolume
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 16?
0%
-12.4%
$45.7K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-8.5%
$44.9K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16?
0%
-28.0%
$37.0K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 16?
0%
-4.5%
$36.1K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?
53%
+23.5%
$34.0K
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15?
99%
+86.1%
$33.1K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16?
0%
-1.4%
$28.5K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 16?
0%
-15.4%
$25.4K
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 15?
100%
+6.2%
$21.9K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 16?
0%
-0.5%
$21.1K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 16?
0%
-4.5%
$20.8K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 16?
0%
-4.7%
$20.3K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.4%
$18.9K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 16?
0%
-0.6%
$17.8K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?
79%
+45.5%
$17.6K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 16?
1%
-3.7%
$16.9K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 16?
0%
-0.3%
$15.0K
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-1.6%
$14.5K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16?
0%
-0.7%
$14.5K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 16?
0%
-7.8%
$14.3K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 16?
5%
-12.5%
$13.2K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 16?
0%
-1.9%
$13.0K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 16?
0%
-4.9%
$13.0K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 16?
1%
-0.7%
$12.9K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-20.0%
$12.8K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 16?
16%
-4.5%
$12.7K
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.9%
$12.4K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 16?
2%
-10.8%
$12.2K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?
28%
+4.5%
$12.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 15?
0%
-11.1%
$11.9K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$11.7K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16?
89%
+53.5%
$11.6K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16?
1%
-5.8%
$11.5K
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 16?
0%
-14.0%
$11.2K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 16?
42%
+15.5%
$10.8K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.1%
$10.6K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 16?
0%
-1.6%
$10.4K
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 16?
0%
-13.0%
$10.4K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16?
98%
+57.5%
$10.4K
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 16?
0%
-4.9%
$10.3K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-22.9%
$10.1K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 16?
2%
+0.5%
$9.9K
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 61°F or below on April 16?
0%
-1.1%
$9.8K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 16?
2%
-15.3%
$9.8K
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 16?
0%
-0.5%
$9.4K
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 16?
0%
-10.0%
$9.2K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 16?
0%
-1.1%
$9.1K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 16?
7%
-26.5%
$9.0K
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 16?
0%
-28.0%
$9.0K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-2.1%
$8.7K
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 15?
100%
+10.6%
$8.2K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 16?
0%
-0.4%
$8.1K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 16?
2%
-0.5%
$8.1K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 16?
0%
-20.9%
$8.0K
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 16?
0%
-7.4%
$8.0K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 16?
0%
-1.5%
$7.8K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.8%
$7.7K
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 16?
22%
+14.5%
$7.6K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 16?
89%
+69.4%
$7.5K
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 16?
5%
-7.9%
$7.3K
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 16?
0%
-27.5%
$7.3K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 16?
6%
-6.2%
$7.3K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$7.2K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 16?
0%
-1.2%
$7.1K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 16?
3%
-8.5%
$7.0K
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 16?
0%
-4.0%
$6.9K
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 16?
3%
-3.7%
$6.9K
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 15?
0%
-2.8%
$6.9K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16?
10%
-11.0%
$6.9K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 16?
0%
-0.6%
$6.9K
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$6.8K
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 16?
0%
-5.3%
$6.7K
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 16?
0%
-12.4%
$6.6K
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 15?
0%
-6.3%
$6.3K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 16?
31%
+8.5%
$6.2K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 16?
0%
-13.5%
$6.1K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16?
64%
+31.0%
$6.1K
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on April 16?
0%
-0.5%
$6.1K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
64%
+0.5%
$6.1K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16?
1%
-0.6%
$6.0K
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16?
48%
+5.0%
$6.0K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 16?
0%
-8.3%
$6.0K
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 16?
34%
-1.5%
$5.9K
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 16?
5%
-23.5%
$5.7K
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 35°F or below on April 17?
0%
-0.1%
$5.7K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 16?
18%
+13.7%
$5.3K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17?
2%
-0.5%
$5.3K
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 16?
3%
-10.0%
$5.3K
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 16?
3%
-4.0%
$5.2K
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 16?
0%
-0.1%
$5.2K
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 16?
1%
+0.3%
$5.2K
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 16?
1%
-1.0%
$5.2K
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?
8%
-18.0%
$5.2K
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16?
28%
+7.0%
$5.1K
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 15?
0%
-6.3%
$5.0K
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on April 16?
0%
-0.7%
$5.0K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$5.0K
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 16?
0%
-1.8%
$5.0K
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 15?
0%
-15.6%
$4.9K
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16?
41%
+18.0%
$4.9K
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 16?
8%
-10.5%
$4.8K
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 16?
1%
-1.9%
$4.8K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 17?
0%
-0.1%
$4.7K
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 15?
0%
-9.0%
$4.7K
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 16?
1%
-4.2%
$4.7K
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 16?
0%
-0.3%
$4.7K
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on April 16?
1%
-1.3%
$4.7K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 16?
0%
-0.1%
$4.6K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 16?
1%
-0.9%
$4.6K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?
3%
-1.1%
$4.6K
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.3%
$4.6K
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?
34%
-1.5%
$4.6K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?
27%
-3.0%
$4.5K
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 16?
0%
+0.1%
$4.5K
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?
0%
-0.5%
$4.5K
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 16?
37%
+5.0%
$4.5K
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 16?
3%
-1.7%
$4.4K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on April 16?
0%
-1.8%
$4.3K
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 16?
0%
-0.4%
$4.3K
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?
9%
-12.0%
$4.3K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 16?
1%
-11.5%
$4.2K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$4.2K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16?
10%
-10.5%
$4.2K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16?
3%
-3.1%
$4.2K
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 16?
0%
-0.8%
$4.1K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on April 16?
0%
+0.1%
$4.1K
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 16?
36%
+1.0%
$4.1K
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 16?
4%
-0.2%
$4.1K
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 16?
0%
-4.2%
$4.1K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 16?
3%
+1.3%
$4.1K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 17?
1%
0.0%
$4.0K
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 16?
3%
-1.0%
$4.0K
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16?
1%
-1.7%
$4.0K
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 15?
0%
-27.8%
$4.0K
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 17?
1%
+0.0%
$4.0K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 16?
0%
-0.2%
$4.0K
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16?
54%
+9.0%
$4.0K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 17?
1%
0.0%
$3.9K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 16?
1%
-8.6%
$3.9K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$3.9K
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 17?
0%
+0.1%
$3.9K
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 16?
3%
-0.1%
$3.8K
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 16?
1%
-1.1%
$3.8K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-2.6%
$3.8K
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 16?
41%
+18.0%
$3.8K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$3.7K
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 16?
1%
-1.9%
$3.7K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$3.7K
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on April 16?
1%
-0.7%
$3.7K
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C or higher on April 16?
6%
+0.6%
$3.6K
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 17?
1%
+0.4%
$3.6K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$3.6K
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16?
5%
-8.0%
$3.6K
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 16?
1%
-5.7%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on April 16?
0%
-0.1%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 16?
0%
-0.1%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on April 16?
2%
-1.2%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 16?
0%
-20.0%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 17?
0%
0.0%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 16?
1%
-1.6%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 16?
5%
-12.0%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on April 17?
1%
-0.2%
$3.5K
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 15?
0%
-23.4%
$3.5K
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?
28%
+4.5%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?
39%
+20.0%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 16?
27%
+3.5%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 16?
22%
-11.0%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 16?
6%
-6.5%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 16?
13%
-5.0%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.5%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16?
27%
+0.5%
$3.4K
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on April 17?
1%
-0.0%
$3.3K
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?
41%
+7.0%
$3.3K
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 16?
5%
+0.5%
$3.3K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on April 16?
0%
-0.4%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on April 16?
0%
-0.5%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on April 16?
0%
-17.0%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 16?
0%
-3.8%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 16?
0%
-0.3%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 16?
1%
-0.4%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on April 16?
0%
-5.0%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on April 16?
0%
-0.1%
$3.2K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 16?
39%
+5.0%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 16?
12%
-14.5%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 16?
0%
-1.5%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 16?
10%
-2.0%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 16?
1%
-2.0%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 17?
0%
-0.2%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 16?
2%
-22.8%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 16?
26%
-10.0%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 16?
3%
+1.7%
$3.1K
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 16?
1%
-10.9%
$3.0K
Frequently Asked Questions
What are temperature prediction markets?
Temperature prediction markets are contracts where traders bet on whether specific temperature thresholds will be crossed — for example, will a city exceed 110°F, will a monthly average temperature set a new record, or will global temperatures hit a milestone.
How is global temperature tracked in prediction markets?
Polymarket and PolyAtlas track markets on NOAA, NASA GISS, and Copernicus global temperature datasets. Markets typically settle based on official monthly or annual anomalies.